Morella vs Betxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAB
3 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOR
32%
25%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
OND
37%
24%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Betxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BET
0 - 2
POB
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
BET
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BNC
2 - 1
BET
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BET
0 - 1
RAF
23%
23%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VIN
2 - 2
BET
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |