CA Morelia vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 0
DOR
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
ATS
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 3
MOR
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
DOR
0 - 0
VER
38%
27%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
TIG
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VER
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VER
3 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
VER
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |