Primeira Liga round 16

Moreirense vs Desportivo Aves analysis

Moreirense Desportivo Aves
73 ELO 70
-6.9% Tilt 0.6%
381º General ELO ranking 22240º
Country ELO ranking 359º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Moreirense
26.2%
Draw
29.9%
Desportivo Aves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
Moreirense
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.9%
Win probability
Desportivo Aves
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Moreirense
Desportivo Aves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moreirense
Moreirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2019
RIO
Rio Ave
1 - 2
Moreirense
MOR
59%
23%
18%
72 78 6 0
22 Dec. 2018
MOR
Moreirense
2 - 1
Boavista
BOA
47%
27%
26%
71 70 1 +1
18 Dec. 2018
FCP
Porto
4 - 3
Moreirense
MOR
78%
15%
7%
72 88 16 -1
15 Dec. 2018
CHA
Chaves
1 - 2
Moreirense
MOR
43%
27%
29%
71 72 1 +1
09 Dec. 2018
MOR
Moreirense
0 - 1
CD Santa Clara
SAN
55%
25%
20%
72 66 6 -1

Matches

Desportivo Aves
Desportivo Aves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2019
AVE
Desportivo Aves
0 - 1
Porto
FCP
14%
22%
65%
71 88 17 0
28 Dec. 2018
AVE
Desportivo Aves
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
19%
23%
58%
71 85 14 0
22 Dec. 2018
BEL
Belenenses SAD
5 - 2
Desportivo Aves
AVE
54%
26%
20%
71 75 4 0
19 Dec. 2018
AVE
Desportivo Aves
2 - 0
Chaves
CHA
43%
25%
32%
70 72 2 +1
15 Dec. 2018
AVE
Desportivo Aves
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
29%
25%
46%
70 75 5 0