Primeira Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
Moreirense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 1
VIZ
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BOA
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
MOR
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 0
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
ESA
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
CHA
30%
28%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
ACA
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |