Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
MOR
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 1
MOR
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 2
POR
62%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 3
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 0
OLI
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ESA
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 2
ESA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |