Moreirense vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
BMA
0 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 0
ACV
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
TOR
3 - 2
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
MOR
2 - 2
AVE
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAI
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
EST
0 - 0
ALV
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ALV
0 - 1
BMA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
ALV
3 - 0
ACV
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
TOR
0 - 2
ALV
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |