League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Morecambe vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRA
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 2
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
GRI
0 - 3
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 0
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TRA
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
TRA
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |