Moralo vs Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
15º
10º
16
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 73 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 68 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 67 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 67 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 64 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 59 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 43 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 39 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 26 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
5 - 2
PUE
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
MOR
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
CFJ
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARR
2 - 3
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
ADL
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDD
6 - 1
PUE
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 2
AZU
17%
22%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 3
PUE
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 2
TRU
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDB
5 - 0
PUE
78%
16%
6%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |