Montrose vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 4
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MON
4 - 3
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AIR
6 - 4
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 3
KIL
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
KIL
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
KIL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 2
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |