CF Montréal U23 vs CS Longueuil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
6º
24
7º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 39 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 0
MON
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LAV
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ROY
2 - 0
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
ASB
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
MON
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
CS Longueuil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 0
LAV
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OTT
2 - 0
LON
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -3 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUB
2 - 1
LON
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
SLA
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 1
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |