Montpellier vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
CAE
0 - 0
MPL
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
MPL
1 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
REN
0 - 2
MPL
28%
32%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
MPL
0 - 0
LIL
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
SPO
0 - 1
MPL
43%
29%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
TFC
0 - 2
MAR
20%
28%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
NAN
1 - 1
TFC
50%
28%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
TFC
2 - 3
AUX
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
LEN
4 - 0
TFC
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASS
47%
29%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |