Montpellier vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
8º
18º
14º
10
3º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 81 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 69 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 60 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 55 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 52 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 42 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 42 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
18º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 30 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 30 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 26 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PSG
6 - 0
MPL
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
M05
3 - 1
MPL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 1
FCM
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
MPL
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
AUX
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CRY
1 - 1
NAN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |