Coupe de France 1/16

Montpellier vs Niort analysis

Montpellier Niort
79 ELO 67
8.9% Tilt -9.6%
329º General ELO ranking 2104º
13º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
86.6%
Montpellier
8.8%
Draw
4.6%
Niort

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
Montpellier
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.6%
Win probability
Niort
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Montpellier
Niort
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 1991
MET
Metz
0 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
45%
28%
27%
80 77 3 0
19 Mar. 1991
MPL
Montpellier
0 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
43%
27%
31%
80 86 6 0
14 Mar. 1991
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
68%
19%
13%
80 74 6 0
09 Mar. 1991
MON
Montagnarde
0 - 2
Montpellier
MPL
9%
18%
73%
80 24 56 0
06 Mar. 1991
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
65%
22%
12%
80 87 7 0

Matches

Niort
Niort
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 1991
NIO
Niort
1 - 0
Caen
CAE
41%
25%
35%
65 74 9 0
04 Jun. 1988
LEN
Lens
3 - 1
Niort
NIO
62%
22%
16%
66 72 6 -1
27 May. 1988
NIO
Niort
0 - 0
Stade Lavallois
STL
45%
28%
27%
65 74 9 +1
21 May. 1988
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 3
Niort
NIO
70%
20%
11%
64 80 16 +1
14 May. 1988
NIO
Niort
1 - 3
Metz
MET
38%
30%
33%
65 79 14 -1
X