Montpellier vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
REI
1 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LYO
5 - 1
MPL
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
MPL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 1
GUI
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
MPL
0 - 1
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
VAL
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
CLE
1 - 1
AJA
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
AJA
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 1
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |