Monticelli vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 1
MON
36%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ASD
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
CIV
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |