League U19 Grupo A round 11

Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Lille U19 analysis

Montfermeil Sub 19 Lille U19
38 ELO 23
-1.8% Tilt -9.7%
9918º General ELO ranking 6994º
286º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
76%
Montfermeil Sub 19
14.1%
Draw
9.8%
Lille U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
Montfermeil Sub 19
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.8%
Win probability
Lille U19
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montfermeil Sub 19
-43%
+40%
Lille U19

Points and table prediction

Montfermeil Sub 19
Their league position
Lille U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lens U19
58
58
100%
PSG U19
52
52
100%
Amiens SC U19
51
51
100%
Montfermeil Sub 19
47
47
100%
Lille U19
37
37
100%
Stade de Reims U19
36
36
100%
Le Havre U19
35
35
100%
Dunkerque U19
34
34
100%
Valenciennes U19
33
33
0%
Caen U19
10º
33
33
10º
0%
USM Saran U19
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Orléans U19
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Gonfreville U19
13º
19
19
13º
100%
Drancy U19
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montfermeil Sub 19
Lille U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montfermeil Sub 19
Lille U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montfermeil Sub 19
Montfermeil Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
AMI
Amiens SC U19
2 - 2
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
48%
22%
31%
37 35 2 0
16 Oct. 2022
MON
Montfermeil Sub 19
5 - 1
Stade de Reims U19
REI
80%
12%
8%
37 19 18 0
09 Oct. 2022
HAV
Le Havre U19
2 - 3
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
28%
23%
50%
36 28 8 +1
02 Oct. 2022
MON
Montfermeil Sub 19
3 - 1
Orléans U19
ORL
74%
15%
11%
36 24 12 0
25 Sep. 2022
DRA
Drancy U19
0 - 2
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
22%
22%
56%
35 24 11 +1

Matches

Lille U19
Lille U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
LIL
Lille U19
2 - 1
Dunkerque U19
DKQ
81%
12%
7%
23 15 8 0
16 Oct. 2022
PSG
PSG U19
4 - 0
Lille U19
LIL
86%
9%
5%
24 41 17 -1
09 Oct. 2022
LIL
Lille U19
1 - 1
USM Saran U19
SRA
85%
10%
5%
24 14 10 0
02 Oct. 2022
VAL
Valenciennes U19
0 - 0
Lille U19
LIL
57%
21%
22%
24 30 6 0
25 Sep. 2022
LIL
Lille U19
2 - 4
Caen U19
CAE
49%
22%
29%
25 25 0 -1