Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Lens Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
8º
45
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REI
2 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
5 - 1
CAE
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
LEN
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
SRA
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 2
LEN
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LEN
4 - 3
TRO
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
LEN
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LEN
5 - 0
ORL
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |