Monterrey vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MON
3 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
UDG
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 0
ALE
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UDG
2 - 0
AUR
46%
28%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |