Monterrey vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
TIJ
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TIJ
4 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
TIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |