Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LEO
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
ATS
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PUM
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 1
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 0
QRO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUM
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PUM
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |