Montehermoso vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
CFJ
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
PIO
70%
19%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
MON
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
CDZ
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 2
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PIO
0 - 5
AMA
9%
17%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 1
MOR
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CDZ
1 - 6
AMA
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
CDC
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |