Montego Bay United vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
12º
7º
49
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
VER
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
MON
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
WAT
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
LIM
85%
10%
4%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 2
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 1
ARN
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 1
MOL
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 0
ARN
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |