Montebelluna vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NKK
1 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
VNZ
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 4
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 4
TAM
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VNZ
2 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
USO
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 0
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |