Monte Azul vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NOR
8 - 1
MAT
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOR
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |