Montceau vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+259%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
11º
10º
13
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 62 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 48 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 44 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 40 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 36 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 35 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 33 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 33 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 31 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 20 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 16 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
TRO
9%
16%
76%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
BFC
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 0
MON
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 1
RAC
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 0
AUX
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
AUX
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 0
BOU
15%
23%
62%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |