Montañeses vs Deportiva Venados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+219%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
8º
8º
17
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ZIT
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
TCS
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
CFT
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 0
JAG
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
RVC
2 - 0
DEV
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 2
ZIT
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
DEV
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |