Monmouth Town FC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monmouth Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
BRI
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
TAF
3 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
GOY
4 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
PEN
26%
23%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
LID
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GOY
1 - 2
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |