Moncarapachense vs Sintrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
6º
6º
20
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 52 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 51 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 51 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 48 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 42 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 33 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 27 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 22 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 19 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MON
5 - 2
CIN
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIN
3 - 0
EVN
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FAB
0 - 1
SIN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 1
IMO
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
SIN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 2
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |