Moncarapachense vs Sintrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
7º
6º
10
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MON
5 - 2
CIN
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
USA
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIN
3 - 0
EVN
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FAB
0 - 1
SIN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 1
IMO
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
SIN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 2
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |