Monagas vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
LLA
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
YAR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
ZAM
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |