Eliteserien round 22

Molde FK vs Fredrikstad analysis

Molde FK Fredrikstad
85 ELO 76
14.7% Tilt 10.3%
193º General ELO ranking 871º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Molde FK
19.9%
Draw
16%
Fredrikstad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Molde FK
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
Fredrikstad
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Molde FK
Their league position
Fredrikstad
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
48
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK Bodo Glimt
59
62
82.5%
SK Brann
58
59
49.5%
Viking Stavanger
56
57
63.5%
Molde FK
52
53
84.5%
Rosenborg BK
50
51
65%
Fredrikstad
48
49
80.5%
Stromsgodset IF
35
36
34%
KFUM Oslo
34
35
12.5%
Sandefjord
34
35
8%
Kristiansund BK
10º
34
35
10º
27%
Sarpsborg 08
11º
34
35
11º
7.5%
HamKam
12º
33
34
12º
9.5%
Tromsø IL
13º
33
34
13º
16.5%
Haugesund
14º
30
31
14º
76.5%
Lillestrom SK
15º
24
24
15º
55.5%
Odd
16º
23
24
16º
55.5%
Expected probabilities
Molde FK
Fredrikstad
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
84.5% 0%
Mid-table
15.5% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Molde FK
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset IF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Molde FK
Molde FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
RBK
Rosenborg BK
2 - 1
Molde FK
MFK
33%
25%
43%
84 80 4 0
29 Aug. 2024
ELF
IF Elfsborg
0 - 1
Molde FK
MFK
38%
24%
38%
85 81 4 -1
25 Aug. 2024
MFK
Molde FK
3 - 0
HamKam
HAM
68%
18%
14%
84 74 10 +1
22 Aug. 2024
MFK
Molde FK
0 - 1
IF Elfsborg
ELF
57%
21%
22%
84 80 4 0
15 Aug. 2024
CER
Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
Molde FK
MFK
44%
24%
32%
85 85 0 -1

Matches

Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
FFK
Fredrikstad
2 - 0
Odd
ODD
47%
26%
28%
76 72 4 0
25 Aug. 2024
HAU
Haugesund
1 - 0
Fredrikstad
FFK
31%
26%
43%
76 71 5 0
18 Aug. 2024
FFK
Fredrikstad
0 - 4
SK Brann
BBS
25%
23%
52%
77 84 7 -1
14 Aug. 2024
FFK
Fredrikstad
1 - 0
Haugesund
HAU
52%
26%
23%
76 71 5 +1
04 Aug. 2024
FFK
Fredrikstad
0 - 0
KFUM Oslo
KFU
46%
25%
28%
76 72 4 0