Molde FK vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
4º
44
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 56 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 52 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 48 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 27 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 26 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
74% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
MFK
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 1
MFK
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
HAM
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
0 - 1
ELF
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
MFK
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 0
ODD
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 0
FFK
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 4
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
HAU
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
KFU
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |