Moghreb Tetouan vs Raja Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
15º
15º
14
3º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 52 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 45 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 44 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 43 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 42 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 38 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
60.5% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moghreb Tetouan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RSB
2 - 1
MOG
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MOG
3 - 0
SCC
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DIF
1 - 0
MOG
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOG
0 - 2
HAS
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
UTS
1 - 0
MOG
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 0
MEK
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
RCA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 0
FAR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CCR
2 - 1
RCA
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RCA
2 - 0
RKZ
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |