Serie B round 3

Modena vs Vigevano Calcio analysis

Modena Vigevano Calcio
60 ELO 55
-14.1% Tilt -16.1%
490º General ELO ranking 22392º
33º Country ELO ranking 676º
ELO win probability
61.4%
Modena
20.6%
Draw
18%
Vigevano Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
Modena
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
Vigevano Calcio
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Modena
Vigevano Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1958
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 0
Modena
MOD
55%
24%
21%
60 58 2 0
21 Sep. 1958
MOD
Modena
1 - 0
Sambenedettese
SSS
62%
21%
17%
59 56 3 +1
07 Sep. 1958
LAQ
L'Aquila
2 - 0
Modena
MOD
37%
24%
39%
60 41 19 -1
13 Jul. 1958
MOD
Modena
1 - 3
Bologna
BOL
34%
24%
42%
61 80 19 -1
06 Jul. 1958
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Reggiana
REG
65%
19%
16%
61 55 6 0

Matches

Vigevano Calcio
Vigevano Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1958
VIG
Vigevano Calcio
1 - 0
Brescia
BRE
53%
23%
24%
54 64 10 0
21 Sep. 1958
LEC
Lecco
2 - 0
Vigevano Calcio
VIG
58%
20%
22%
55 55 0 -1
07 Sep. 1958
VAR
Varese
2 - 0
Vigevano Calcio
VIG
64%
17%
20%
56 61 5 -1
13 Jul. 1958
VIG
Vigevano Calcio
5 - 1
FC Alessandria
USA
49%
21%
30%
54 70 16 +2
06 Jul. 1958
GEN
Genoa
5 - 2
Vigevano Calcio
VIG
73%
15%
13%
55 75 20 -1