Modena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
FIA
0 - 1
MOD
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
COS
1 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
USC
2 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIS
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASL
3 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
18%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
38%
32%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
TER
1 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
CES
43%
30%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |