Modena vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 5
PES
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 1
CRO
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 1
FRA
82%
14%
4%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
FON
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
TAR
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REA
2 - 1
FRA
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |