Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
LEC
3 - 1
MOD
57%
26%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 1
REG
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 4
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VER
4 - 1
MOD
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
COM
1 - 0
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
COM
1 - 1
INT
18%
21%
61%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
COM
2 - 1
CAG
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |