Modena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PES
0 - 2
MOD
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CTT
3 - 0
PIA
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ABN
1 - 3
CTT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 2
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 1
GRO
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |