Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
30.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
37%
32%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
51%
31%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
50%
31%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 4
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
50%
30%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
BAR
41%
31%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
55%
27%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |