Modena vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1994 |
PES
4 - 2
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAR
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIC
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOD
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
MOD
2 - 0
COS
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1994 |
ACI
1 - 0
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
RAV
1 - 1
ACI
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ACI
1 - 0
PAL
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACI
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
ACI
2 - 1
FIA
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |