Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
15º
6º
27
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 66 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 55 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 41 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 27 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
44.5% | 89% |
|
Next round
|
44% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
NOA
2 - 0
MBO
28%
22%
49%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 1
MBO
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MBO
2 - 2
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
MBO
0 - 2
SLP
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TEP
1 - 2
MBO
25%
24%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 1
ESK
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TEP
2 - 3
BAN
28%
26%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIG
2 - 2
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 0
SLI
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |