Cup Paulista round 2

Mirassol vs Rio Preto analysis

Mirassol Rio Preto
59 ELO 48
3% Tilt -6.1%
378º General ELO ranking 6661º
31º Country ELO ranking 286º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Mirassol
20.2%
Draw
14.7%
Rio Preto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
Mirassol
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
Rio Preto
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mirassol
+15%
-21%
Rio Preto

ELO progression

Mirassol
Rio Preto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mirassol
Mirassol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2015
PEN
Penapolense
0 - 0
Mirassol
MIR
37%
27%
36%
59 57 2 0
03 May. 2015
MIR
Mirassol
3 - 2
União Barbarense
UNI
61%
22%
17%
59 51 8 0
26 Apr. 2015
NOV
Novorizontino
1 - 0
Mirassol
MIR
37%
24%
39%
59 56 3 0
19 Apr. 2015
MIR
Mirassol
3 - 1
Santo André
SAN
51%
25%
24%
58 57 1 +1
12 Apr. 2015
MIR
Mirassol
2 - 0
Atlético Sorocaba
ATL
56%
24%
21%
58 54 4 0

Matches

Rio Preto
Rio Preto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2015
RIO
Rio Preto
1 - 1
Catanduvense
CAT
51%
25%
24%
47 45 2 0
19 Apr. 2015
RIO
Rio Preto
2 - 2
Barretos
BAR
53%
24%
23%
48 45 3 -1
12 Apr. 2015
SAN
Santacruzense
3 - 2
Rio Preto
RIO
21%
26%
54%
49 35 14 -1
08 Apr. 2015
RIO
Rio Preto
3 - 0
Sertãozinho
SER
44%
26%
30%
48 47 1 +1
04 Apr. 2015
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 0
Rio Preto
RIO
31%
26%
43%
48 39 9 0