Mirassol vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 2
MIR
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
MIR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 2
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 3
PEN
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
MIR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |