Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Mirandés vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
MIR
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 0
CDU
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 2
MIR
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
IZA
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RUN
1 - 1
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LEI
0 - 1
RUN
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
RUN
4 - 0
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RUN
1 - 1
SDA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
RUN
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |