Millwall vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
ARS
2 - 0
MIL
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
ASV
1 - 0
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
MIL
0 - 1
TOT
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
DER
2 - 0
MIL
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
MIL
1 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
LIV
4 - 1
CHL
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
CHL
3 - 0
CRY
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
CHL
1 - 0
LUT
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |