Millwall vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 4
COV
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 2
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
STF
1 - 2
MIL
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 3
TON
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 2
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SCU
1 - 1
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
HUR
37%
25%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 4
MID
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |