Millonarios vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1964 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIL
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
IND
5 - 1
MIL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
MIL
3 - 2
ALI
52%
20%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
MIL
0 - 2
BOT
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MIL
0 - 1
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1964 |
IND
4 - 0
NOB
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
FER
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
IND
0 - 0
HUR
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
ARG
3 - 0
IND
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
IND
5 - 1
MIL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |