Copa Libertadores round 1

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali analysis

Millonarios Deportivo Cali
74 ELO 73
-2.1% Tilt 2.5%
354º General ELO ranking 504º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
52.2%
Millonarios
21%
Draw
26.9%
Deportivo Cali

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
Millonarios
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.9%
Win probability
Deportivo Cali
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Millonarios
+12%
-15%
Deportivo Cali

ELO progression

Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 1968
CAL
Deportivo Cali
1 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
68%
17%
16%
73 74 1 0
21 Feb. 1968
EST
Estudiantes La Plata
0 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
68%
18%
14%
73 85 12 0
18 Feb. 1968
IND
Independiente
3 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
70%
17%
13%
74 84 10 -1
14 Feb. 1968
MIL
Millonarios
4 - 2
Deportivo Cali
CAL
52%
22%
26%
73 75 2 +1
07 Feb. 1968
MIL
Millonarios
0 - 1
Estudiantes La Plata
EST
44%
25%
31%
73 84 11 0

Matches

Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1971
CAL
Deportivo Cali
2 - 0
Junior
JUN
66%
18%
17%
74 74 0 0
21 Mar. 1971
CAL
Deportivo Cali
3 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
58%
20%
23%
73 72 1 +1
18 Mar. 1971
CAL
Deportivo Cali
1 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
58%
20%
22%
73 72 1 0
07 Mar. 1971
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 1
Deportivo Cali
CAL
50%
21%
29%
73 71 2 0
03 Mar. 1971
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Deportivo Cali
CAL
45%
22%
33%
74 69 5 -1