Milazzo vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GIU
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
GAV
38%
25%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
FCC
36%
27%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
VIG
44%
25%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 1
CAM
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
APR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAM
55%
25%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |