1st Division round 13

Marumo Gallants FC vs Free State Stars analysis

Marumo Gallants FC Free State Stars
54 ELO 59
-2.2% Tilt -4.6%
2189º General ELO ranking 22288º
20º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Marumo Gallants FC
26.9%
Draw
35.3%
Free State Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
Marumo Gallants FC
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.3%
Win probability
Free State Stars
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Marumo Gallants FC
Free State Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marumo Gallants FC
Marumo Gallants FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
MIL
Marumo Gallants FC
3 - 4
Uthongathi
UTH
30%
23%
47%
56 59 3 0
23 Nov. 2019
RKF
Royal AM
1 - 2
Marumo Gallants FC
MIL
44%
28%
28%
55 56 1 +1
20 Nov. 2019
UTH
Uthongathi
1 - 1
Marumo Gallants FC
MIL
46%
29%
25%
55 59 4 0
09 Nov. 2019
TSS
TS Sporting
1 - 0
Marumo Gallants FC
MIL
34%
27%
39%
56 50 6 -1
02 Nov. 2019
EAG
Royal Eagles
1 - 3
Marumo Gallants FC
MIL
49%
25%
26%
55 54 1 +1

Matches

Free State Stars
Free State Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2019
FRE
Free State Stars
1 - 2
TS Sporting
TSS
54%
22%
23%
59 51 8 0
23 Nov. 2019
FRE
Free State Stars
0 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
63%
22%
15%
60 49 11 -1
09 Nov. 2019
FRE
Free State Stars
2 - 2
Steenberg United
STE
59%
24%
17%
60 53 7 0
02 Nov. 2019
JDR
JDR Stars
1 - 1
Free State Stars
FRE
35%
28%
38%
60 55 5 0
26 Oct. 2019
RKF
Royal AM
3 - 0
Free State Stars
FRE
29%
28%
43%
60 54 6 0