Milan vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 2
VIC
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACM
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SAL
4 - 3
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 0
USA
69%
16%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
USA
2 - 2
LAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
2 - 1
USA
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 1
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
SAL
1 - 0
USA
46%
22%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |