Coppa Italia Final
Global 1-3
Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
INT
1 - 2
ACM
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACM
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
ACM
24%
31%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
SAM
3 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
SAM
4 - 2
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
TOR
0 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SAM
3 - 0
ATL
75%
18%
8%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |